analysis: inspect the current sun-hat clip at 25fps and narrow flicker candidates

docs/analysis/tracking-flicker-20261022/current-clip-summary.json

@@ -0,0 +1,318 @@
+{
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+  "nominalSourceFPS": 29.970029830932617,
+  "outputWithout76Frames": 0,
+  "partial76Frames": 0,
+  "samplingFPS": 25,
+  "scope": "Independent offline decoding and the current production detector/tracker; not FCP render logs or target execution. Shape steps remove previous bbox translation/scale, but still include actual pose/expression changes.",
+  "sourceBasename": "girl-in-sun-hat-smiling-in-rural-field-2026-10-03-13-54-14-utc.mov",
+  "statistics": {
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+      "min": 0.00020005997144872253,
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+      "p95": 0.006821726779186577
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+      "min": 6.255832853296894e-06,
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+      "p95": 0.03431959948374386
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+    "landmarkConfidence": {
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+      "median": 0.867706298828125,
+      "min": 0.813995361328125,
+      "n": 469,
+      "p95": 0.902191162109375
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+    "outputAllShapeStep": {
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+      "median": 0.009735492145012412,
+      "min": 0.0029755122029975372,
+      "n": 468,
+      "p95": 0.026782532902396017
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+      "p95": 0.03357642027607019
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+      "min": 0.0013460890263982167,
+      "n": 468,
+      "p95": 0.02979010461963986
+    }
+  },
+  "timelineOffsetSeconds": 18.72,
+  "nativeContext": {
+    "app": "Final Cut Pro",
+    "project": "大鱼人像美化验收-20261021",
+    "format": "1080p25",
+    "selectedClipStartTimecode": "00:00:18:18",
+    "selectedClipEndTimecode": "00:00:37:11",
+    "timelinePlayheadAX": "00:00:24:11",
+    "viewerLCD": "00:00:35:22",
+    "faceThin": 1,
+    "faceBigEye": 0.9035486629353234,
+    "fastMultiFace": false,
+    "sourceResolvedBy": "Selected timeline clip > File > Reveal in Finder",
+    "timelineMediaMapping": "Offset18.72 is inferred from clip placement; source in-point/retiming not exported, so source5.72 -> timeline24:11 is approximate. Viewer LCD differs from AX playhead; displayed frame not asserted."
+  },
+  "interpretation": {
+    "partialTopologySwitchObserved": false,
+    "candidate": "Fully detected geometry changes retained by the current box-remapping and 90% current-frame point blend; eye effect also active",
+    "notProven": [
+      "Observed geometric change includes actual head motion, rotation and expression; not all measured change is detector noise",
+      "No target output frames or live target internal geometry captured",
+      "Native FCP arrival order and detection/color/scale can differ from the independent decode",
+      "Big-eye contribution not measured independently on the native timeline"
+    ]
+  },
+  "referenceProcessIdentity": {
+    "observedAlreadyRunning": true,
+    "outerApp": "/Library/Plug-Ins/FxPlug/MSE18V2.app",
+    "version": "2.4.0",
+    "pluginSha256": "577303e0de72e07feb576c882e82382b3f056b023a7e987d990ffb37f6b16109",
+    "matchesRequestedDownloadsBinary": true,
+    "analysisLaunchedTarget": false,
+    "internalTargetGeometryCaptured": false
+  }
+}

docs/analysis/tracking-flicker-20261022/manifest.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "scope": "Source and isolated authored synthetic diagnostics plus static REA of the requested 2.4.0 binary; no native host comparison",
+  "scope": "Current source review, isolated authored diagnostics, static REA of requested2.4.0, and independent25fps scan of the user-selected current clip; no native dual-plugin comparison",
   "sourceBaseline": "b58fec1a86db7a2e474e1cc65a5911447b5906b9",
   "installedVersion": "1.3.2 (17)",
   "productSourceUnchanged": true,
@@ -18,14 +18,19 @@
     "scripts/diagnose-tracking.m": "bc758bf5ec4825006930be8997889404f63c28da1fe06ad8872b0901b2795d2c",
     "docs/analysis/tracking-flicker-20261022/synthetic-results.json": "5fdbad4887dd78658c06f5c6d8e70c9e53fd7b54e11a9cc31ee1958631cbc1a8",
     "docs/analysis/tracking-flicker-20261022/rea-evidence.json": "4b367759388c8e061e138623184ae8a6875dbab22659eefd4e474b141b8868fa",
-    "scripts/diagnose-tracking.sh": "c1993ca91cee596a21db1e4f86ba224be85c37495c783f9c3b21872aff210765"
+    "scripts/diagnose-tracking.sh": "c1993ca91cee596a21db1e4f86ba224be85c37495c783f9c3b21872aff210765",
+    "scripts/inspect-tracking-sequence.m": "0b94fc92669acf4d36861ccb25077b767189b8a72647e0d304627dbda5d052eb",
+    "docs/analysis/tracking-flicker-20261022/current-clip-summary.json": "043ba688c606fb9e56449fd02108b34789fd41c4d9a2552cd07f4d3bf78a00f0"
   },
   "limits": [
-    "No user frames or complete user landmark arrays used or uploaded",
-    "No target process executed or host UI controlled",
     "Static reachable/default-configuration branches do not prove runtime branch execution",
     "Same-frame raw cache, hold and out-of-order behavior were isolated using our actual current implementation",
     "No APP rebuild, install, package or article publication for this analysis",
-    "User clarified current FCP timeline: sun-hat subject, 1080p25, fast multi off, faceThin1, bigEye about0.90; exact source/frame analysis in progress"
-  ]
+    "User source decoded only locally; no source frames or complete real landmark arrays uploaded",
+    "User current FCP clip confirmed, all469 offline samples have full76; earlier missing-point synthetic case is not established as this clip cause",
+    "Only scalar clip summary retained; full scalar per-frame diagnostics remain in ignored build",
+    "Approximate timeline offset is not a substitute for verified source in-point/retiming",
+    "Reference was already running; only process executable identity read. Native UI read/reveal/raise only, no effect/timeline edits; no target launch, debugger or geometry trace."
+  ],
+  "currentClipSummary": "current-clip-summary.json"
 }